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SREC Prices and Markets: DC, Maryland and Virginia

By Team Faseeh Lall

If you own solar panels in the Washington area, the electricity your system produces is only part of the value. Every 1,000 kilowatt hours also creates one Solar Renewable Energy Certificate, an SREC, that you can sell. But the price of that certificate depends heavily on where your system sits, and in 2026 the gap between neighbouring markets is enormous. DC SREC prices are running near $380 per certificate, while Maryland certificates trade near $40 and Virginia certificates near $27. This guide explains why, what the current market picture looks like, and how owners actually turn certificates into income.

One important note before the numbers. SREC prices move. The figures in this post were checked on 2 November 2026 against exchange dashboards and broker contract pages, and they describe the 2026 market. They are not a promise of what any owner will receive, because the price you get depends on your contract, your timing and your system's registration. Treat this as a market picture, not a quote.

What Is an SREC and Why Does It Have a Price?

An SREC is a tradable certificate issued for every megawatt hour, which is 1,000 kilowatt hours, of solar electricity your system produces. Certificates are tracked in the PJM-EIS Generation Attribute Tracking System, known as GATS, so every certificate can be traced to a real system and a real month of generation.

The price exists because of state law. States with a solar carve-out in their renewable portfolio standard require electricity suppliers to hold a set share of solar certificates. A supplier that falls short pays a penalty, called the Solar Alternative Compliance Payment or SACP. That obligation creates demand for certificates, and the penalty sets a practical ceiling on what a certificate can be worth, because a supplier has little reason to pay more for a certificate than the penalty it would pay without one.

With the federal residential solar tax credit expired for purchased systems from 1 January 2026, SREC income now carries more weight in a new system's economics than it did a few years ago. That makes understanding your local market more important, not less.

One ownership point matters before anything else. Only the system owner can sell the certificates. If you bought your system with cash or a loan, that is usually you. If you have a lease or a power purchase agreement, the company that owns the panels usually keeps the certificates. Check your contract before counting any SREC income.

How SREC Prices Are Set

The penalty ceiling sets the top of the market

Every market state has a penalty figure, and it differs sharply by state. In 2026 the ceiling is $440 per megawatt hour in Washington DC, $45 in Maryland, and $78.82 for small distributed systems in Virginia. Those three numbers alone explain most of the price gap between the three markets.

Supply and demand do the rest

Below the ceiling, supply and demand decide the price. When too few systems exist to meet the solar carve-out, prices rise toward the ceiling. That is the DC story. When systems are plentiful relative to the obligation, prices fall toward much lower levels. That is the Maryland story, and until recently it was the Virginia story too.

Market states versus fixed price states

DC, Maryland and Pennsylvania are market states, where trading sets the price. New Jersey, Illinois, Massachusetts and Delaware use fixed or auction set prices instead, which removes most of the volatility. Market states offer higher upside when demand is strong, but they also carry real price risk, which is why contract choice matters so much.

Vintage and timing matter

Certificates carry a generation year, called a vintage, and compliance deadlines fall at set times of year. A certificate's value can depend on its vintage and on when it is sold relative to those deadlines. Certificates also expire under state rules, so holding them indefinitely is not a strategy. Registration, timing and contract terms are all part of the return, not just the headline price.

Washington DC SREC Prices in 2026

Washington DC remains the strongest SREC market in the region by a wide margin. Flett Exchange lists the 2026 DC vintage at $377.50, and energy year 2026 certificates settled at $387.50 on 21 October 2026, the highest 2026 settlement of the year and about 88 percent of the $440 ceiling. Independent 2026 guides put the DC range at roughly $360 to $440 per certificate.

DC pays the most for a simple reason. The District's renewable portfolio standard sets a demanding solar obligation relative to the limited number of roofs and sites available inside the city, and the $440 penalty ceiling gives that demand room to express itself in price. Note that older articles quoting a $500 DC ceiling are out of date. That ceiling dropped after 2023, so any guide still using $500 should not be trusted for current planning.

What DC SRECs are worth to a typical system

The arithmetic is straightforward, and this is an illustration only, not a promise. A system that produces 10 megawatt hours in a year creates 10 SRECs. At $377.50 each, that is $3,775 before any broker fee. A larger system producing 12 megawatt hours would create 12 SRECs, worth $4,530 at the same price. Your actual payment depends on your contract and on fees, which is covered later in this guide.

Maryland SREC Prices in 2026

Maryland is a different world from DC, even though the two markets sit side by side. Flett Exchange lists the 2026 Maryland vintage at $40. Broker offers reported in early 2026 were about $42.50 per certificate on a variable brokerage basis, or $29.50 locked in for three years. Some 2026 guides quote a wider $40 to $75 range across program years, which reflects different vintages and contract types rather than a single spot price.

The reason is the ceiling. Maryland's penalty cap is $45 in 2026 and is scheduled to step down in later years, reaching $22.50 by 2030 according to EnergySage's 2026 guide. A market cannot trade above its ceiling for long, so Maryland prices are structurally low and likely to drift lower as the cap falls. That does not make Maryland certificates worthless, but it does mean owners should value them conservatively and avoid long term forecasts built on today's price.

Brighter Tomorrow Act certificates are worth more

There is one important exception. Residential systems eligible under Maryland's Brighter Tomorrow Act earn certificates that carry 1.5 times the compliance value of a standard certificate, and they are listed near $60. Eligibility is limited to the first 300 megawatts AC of systems of 20 kilowatts and under, so this is not an option for every system. If your system qualifies, the difference is material, and it is worth confirming your certification status.

A note for homes near the DC line

Some Maryland homes connected to a Pepco distribution line that runs into DC may qualify for the DC SREC market, where prices are far higher. This is a narrow eligibility question that depends on your interconnection, not your mailing address, so do not assume it applies. It is worth asking about if your home sits close to the District line.

Virginia SREC Prices in 2026

Virginia has been the thinnest market of the three. Prices have been falling since 2022, and buyers largely dried up in 2025, partly because Dominion Energy already held about 2.6 percent small solar against a 1 percent requirement, giving it little reason to buy more. In spring 2026, Virginia SRECs were trading around $27 each. Broker contract options published in October 2026 were $22.50 per certificate guaranteed for three years on an annuity contract, or $34 on a variable brokerage basis.

For illustration only, a system producing 10 megawatt hours a year would create 10 certificates worth about $270 at the spring spot price, before fees. That is real income, but it is an order of magnitude smaller than the DC equivalent, which is why Virginia owners often treat SRECs as a bonus rather than a core part of system economics.

The 2026 law change could reshape the Virginia market

That picture may be changing. The Distributed Generation Expansion Act, HB 628 and SB 175, was signed on 13 April 2026 and took effect on 1 July 2026. It raises Dominion Energy's distributed generation carve-out, the share of its renewable requirement that must come from small systems under 1 megawatt, from 1 percent to 4.5 percent for compliance years 2026 to 2030, and to 5 percent for 2031 to 2045. At least 75 percent of renewable energy certificates must come from in-state resources.

The scale of the change is large. Dominion's annual demand for distributed certificates rises from roughly 740,000 to about 3.4 million certificates a year, while the existing fleet of small solar can supply only about 30 percent of the new requirement. Market watchers expect prices to rise gradually as the market adjusts, and one exchange has pointed to a path toward $65 to $70 per Virginia certificate before the 2026 compliance period ends. That is an expectation, not a traded price, and the timing depends heavily on how Dominion buys. Virginia owners should therefore watch this market closely rather than locking in long contracts at today's thin prices without comparing offers.

One practical note: Virginia's rules differ by utility territory, with Dominion Energy customers under one schedule and Appalachian Power customers under another, and Virginia certificates are valid for five years from generation. Confirm which rules cover your address before making plans.

SREC Prices Side by Side

Put together, the 2026 picture looks like this. Washington DC trades near $377.50 for the 2026 vintage, under a $440 ceiling, in an open market with the strongest demand in the region. Maryland trades near $40 for the 2026 vintage, under a $45 ceiling that steps down in later years, in an open market, with certified Brighter Tomorrow certificates near $60. Virginia trades near $27 on recent spot quotes, with broker options from $22.50 guaranteed to $34 variable, under a $78.82 ceiling for small distributed systems that rises 1 percent a year, in a thin market whose demand has just multiplied under new law.

The lesson is that state policy, not weather, sets the price. The same sunlight produces certificates worth very different amounts on opposite sides of a state line, and the gap is driven by the size of the solar obligation, the penalty ceiling and the balance of supply and demand in each market.

How Solar Owners Actually Sell SRECs

Register and track first

Selling starts with registration. Your system is registered in GATS, production is metered, and certificates are created for each megawatt hour generated. Without registration there is nothing to sell, and backdating is limited, so registering early protects income that would otherwise be lost.

Sell at the spot market price

The simplest route is a market sale through a broker or exchange, where you receive the going price at the time of sale, minus a fee. This is the variable brokerage model: $42.50 in the Maryland example above, $34 in the Virginia example. You keep the upside if prices rise, and you carry the risk if they fall.

Lock a guaranteed rate

The alternative is a fixed price contract, sometimes called an annuity, where a buyer guarantees a price per certificate for a set term, such as three years. The guaranteed price is usually lower than the spot price, as in the Maryland $29.50 three year example and the Virginia $22.50 three year example, because the buyer is taking the market risk. What you gain is certainty, which suits owners who want predictable income.

Sell yourself or use a broker

Owners can sell directly through an exchange portal or work through a broker or aggregator that handles registration, tracking, market timing and transfer. Exchange fee schedules show seller fees around $2.50 per certificate on do-it-yourself sales in several states, with broker managed services costing more. The right comparison is net payout after fees, not the headline price, because a higher headline with a higher fee can pay less.

SAMS provides SREC brokerage for DC solar owners on either a spot market or a guaranteed rate basis, handling registration, tracking and sale so owners do not have to manage vintages and compliance deadlines themselves. The brokerage is DC focused, and SAMS offers a 0% brokerage option, which means owners keep every dollar with no commissions. Whichever route you choose, compare offers on the same basis: price per certificate, fee, contract length and payment timing.

What changes what you actually receive

Five factors decide your final payment. Contract type, spot or guaranteed. Fees, which come off the top. Timing and vintage, which affect the price at sale. Eligibility, such as Brighter Tomorrow certification in Maryland. And ownership, because a leased or PPA system usually assigns the certificates to the system owner, not the homeowner. Check all five before accepting any offer.

Common Mistakes Owners Make With SREC Prices

  1. Trusting an old article. DC's $500 ceiling is gone, New Jersey's legacy market is closed to new systems, and any price quoted without a year attached should be treated as suspect.

  2. Assuming today's price lasts the life of the system. Ceilings step down by law, markets move with supply and demand, and a 2026 price is not a ten year forecast.

  3. Forgetting who owns the certificates. Under most leases and power purchase agreements, the company keeps them, so the homeowner receives bill savings only.

  4. Comparing headline prices without fees. A $40 offer with a large fee can pay less than a $35 offer with a small one. Always compare net payout.

  5. Ignoring registration and vintage deadlines. Unregistered production and expired certificates are income lost permanently, and both are avoidable.

Final Thoughts

SREC prices in 2026 tell a clear regional story. Washington DC leads by a wide margin, Maryland is low with a falling ceiling, and Virginia is waking up after a major law change multiplied utility demand. If you own a DC system, your certificates are likely your second income stream after bill savings, and they deserve the same attention as your electricity production. Get registered, compare spot and guaranteed offers on net payout, and recheck prices before every sale rather than relying on a figure you saw months ago.

If you would rather not track vintages, ceilings and compliance deadlines yourself, a SREC brokerage can handle registration, tracking and sale on either a spot market or a guaranteed rate basis, leaving you free to focus on the system itself.